North Carolina
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
63  Lianne Farber SO 19:49
192  Kylie McCoy SO 20:21
284  Ashley Miess JR 20:33
353  Annie LeHardy SO 20:42
462  Samantha Jorgensen SO 20:54
584  Karley Rempel SO 21:04
672  Malia Cali JR 21:11
828  Mariana Lucena SR 21:22
905  Emma Norman SO 21:27
1,392  Chelsea Weiermiller SO 21:59
National Rank #39 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #5 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 7.7%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.5%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 70.9%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Lianne Farber Kylie McCoy Ashley Miess Annie LeHardy Samantha Jorgensen Karley Rempel Malia Cali Mariana Lucena Emma Norman Chelsea Weiermiller
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 762 20:07 20:21 20:36 20:38 20:53 21:08 21:13 21:22 21:27
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 775 19:38 20:27 20:40 20:50 21:04 21:12
ACC Championships 10/27 859 20:12 20:30 20:55 21:00 20:45 20:56 22:00
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 827 19:43 20:40 20:41 20:52 21:18 21:22
NCAA Championship 11/17 19:38





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 7.7% 27.2 622 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.6
Region Championship 100% 4.9 185 0.0 2.7 8.0 27.8 32.3 16.7 8.3 3.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lianne Farber 63.3% 62.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4
Ashley Miess 7.7% 148.0
Annie LeHardy 7.7% 175.4
Samantha Jorgensen 7.7% 201.5
Karley Rempel 7.7% 218.0
Malia Cali 7.7% 229.0
Mariana Lucena 7.7% 240.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lianne Farber 8.4 0.6 2.4 3.5 3.9 5.5 7.9 9.8 11.7 12.1 11.6 8.1 6.6 4.6 3.3 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1
Ashley Miess 29.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.7
Annie LeHardy 37.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.8 1.8
Samantha Jorgensen 48.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6
Karley Rempel 58.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Malia Cali 67.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mariana Lucena 83.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 2.7% 100.0% 2.7 2.7 2
3 8.0% 45.5% 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 4.4 3.7 3
4 27.8% 4.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 26.7 1.1 4
5 32.3% 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 32.2 0.2 5
6 16.7% 16.7 6
7 8.3% 8.3 7
8 3.1% 3.1 8
9 0.6% 0.6 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 7.7% 0.0 2.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 92.3 2.7 5.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 23.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0